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2017上海铜铝峰会成功举办 深度解析铜铝行业发展动向

RIQIAN,YOUSHANGHAIYOUSEJINSHUXINGYEXIEHUIHESHANGHAIYOUSEWANGLIANHEJUBANDE2017SHANGHAITONGLVFENGHUI&SHANGHAIQIANXINFENGZAISHANGHAISHENGNUOYAHUANGGUANJIARIJIUDIANLONGZHONGZHAOKAI。ZHONGGUOYOUSEJINSHUJIAGONGGONGYEXIEHUIMISHUZHANGJIANFULISHIZHANGZHANGJILIN、ZHONGGUOYOUSEJINSHUGONGYEXIEHUIZAISHENGJINSHUFENHUIFUHUIZHANGLISHILONG、GUOWUYUANFAZHANYANJIUZHONGXINHONGGUANJINGJIYANJIUBUXUNSHIYUAN、ZHENGJUJIYANJIUYUANWEIJIANINGDENG20DUOWEIJINGJIXUEJIA、XINGYEZHUANJIAZAIHUISHANGZUOLEJINGCAIDEYANJIANG。GONGJI500YUMINGLAIZITONGLVCHANYELIANDEYENEIRENSHICHUXILECICIHUIYI。XIEHUIHUIZHANGXUMINGCHUXIHUIYIBINGZHICI。


逆全球化特征显现国家应加速改革迎头向前

GUOWUYUANFAZHANYANJIUZHONGXINHONGGUANJINGJIYANJIUBUXUNSHIYUAN、ZHENGJUJIYANJIUYUANWEIJIANINGXIANSHENGZAIJIU“GUONEIWAIZHENGZHIJINGJIXINGSHIYUBEIJINGFENXI”DEFAYANZHONG,ZHONGDIANTIJILENIQUANQIUHUAZHENGZAIMAOYI、TOUZI、HAIYUNDENGFANGMIANXIANXIAN。LIKEQIANGZONGLIYEZAIDISHIERJIEQUANGUORENDADIWUCIHUIYISHANGSUOZUODEZHENGFUGONGZUOBAOGAOZHONG,JIANGNIQUANQIUHUALIEWEIZHONGDIAN。ERZHONGGUOYINGZAICISHIJIXIADALIDUDITUIJINGUANJIANLINGYUGAIGE,BINGFUZHIYISHIDANGDEHONGGUANJINGJIZHENGCE,CAINENGGOUGUIBIFENGXIAN,BAOCHIWENDING,GONGJIANKENAN。CAINENGGOUDAILAIXINDEZENGZHANG,MAISHANGXINDETAIJIE;SHIXIANZHONGGAOSU,MAISHANGZHONGGAODUAN。


铝加工出口恐难持续增长国内消费前景看好

ZHONGGUOYOUSEJINSHUJIAGONGGONGYEXIEHUIMISHUZHANGJIANFULISHIZHANGZHANGJILINZAIHUISHANGBIAOSHI,JINGUANCHANNENGJUDA、YINGYONGCHUANGXINYOUQISHICHUANTONGLINGYUDEYINGYONGCHUANGXINZHIHOU,CHUKOUNENGFOUBAOCHIZENGZHANGQIANTUWEIBU,HUANBAOYUESHUBUDUANJIADA,JINGYINGJIYINGSHANGHUANJINGELIEDENGYINSUZAOCHENGLVJIAGONGHUANGJIAJIAGESHANGBUQU,CHENGBENXIABULAI,DAOZHILVJIAGONGCHANYEWEILAIDEFAZHANMIANLINHENDADEYALI,DANYIRANDUIZHONGGUOLVJIAGONGWEILAIDEFAZHANQIANJINGKANHAO。SUIZHECHUKOUSHULIANGDEZENGZHANG,JINNIANLAI,WEIRAOZHEDIANJIELVHEXIANGGUANJIAGONGZHIPINDEGUOJIMAOYIZHENGDUANYEZHUJIANZENGDUO。2017NIAN3YUE9RI,MEIGUOLVYEXIEHUIMAOYIZHIFAGONGZUOZUJIQICHENGYUANXIANGMEIGUOSHANGWUBUTICHUSHENQING,YAOQIUDUIZIZHONGGUOJINKOUDELVBOFAQIFANQINGXIAOHEFANBUTIEDIAOCHA。ZHANGJILINBIAOSHI,RUGUODIAOCHAJIEGUOCHENGLI,JIANGDUICHANZIZHONGGUODELVBOHUANGJIAKEYI134.33%DESHUILV,ZHEIKONGPAYAODAOZHIZHONGGUOLVBOQIYESHIQUMEIGUOSHICHANG。JINGUANWAIMAODAHUANJINGBURONGLEGUAN,DANGUONEILVXIAOFEIQIANLIYIRANJUDA。ZHANGJILINBIAOSHI,SUIZHEGONGJICEJIEGOUGAIGEDEBUDUANSHENRU,MUQIANZHONGGUOWULUNSHINIANRENJUNLVXIAOFEILIANGHAISHIRENJUNLVCUNLIANGHEFADAGUOJIAXIANGBIJUNCUNZAIHENDACHAJU,XIAOFEIQIANLIJUDA。CONGJUTIDEXIAOFEILINGYUKAN,LVCAIZAIJIANZHU、JIEGOU、QICHE、BAOZHUANGYIJIJIAJUDENGLINGYUDEXIAOFEILIANGYUGUOWAIDOUYOUHENDACHAJU,FAZHANQIANLIHENDA。


2025年中国将成为世界铝废料的主要来源地

ZHONGGUOYOUSEJINSHUGONGYEXIEHUIZAISHENGFENHUIFUHUIZHANGLISHILONGZAIHUISHANGBIAOSHI:2025NIANZHIQIANZHONGGUOLVFEILIAODOUJIANGCHUYUGAOSUZENGZHANGQI,DAO2025NIANZHONGGUOJIANGCHENGWEISHIJIELVFEILIAODEZHUYAOLAIYUANDI。2016NIAN,ZHONGGUOZAISHENGLVCHANLIANG640WANDUN,TONGBIZENGZHANG6%ZUOYOU;QIZHONGLIYONGJINKOUFEILIAO190WANDUN,70%SHIGUONEIHUISHOUFEILIAOSHENGCHAN。JINNIANLAIGUONEIFEILVLIYONGLIANGZAIZENGJIA,LVHEJINFEILIAOJINKOULIANGZECONG2011NIANYILAICHIXUXIADIE。SHIJIZHONGGUOCONG2010NIANKAISHIYIJINGJINRULVDEBAOFEIGAOFENGQI。2025NIANZHIQIANZHONGGUOLVFEILIAODOUJIANGCHUYUGAOSUZENGZHANGQI。WEILAI,JIANZHUHEJIAOTONGYUNSHULIANGDALINGYURENGSHIZHONGGUOLVHEJINFEILIAODEZHUYAOLAIYUANDI。JIEZHIDAO2016NIANDI,QUANGUOJIDONGCHEBAOYOULIANGDA2.9YILIANG,QIZHONGQICHE1.94YILIANG。DAO2030NIAN,ANPINGJUN250kgLV/CHEJISUAN,JIUYOU1YIDUNLVDENGDAIHUISHOU。


2017年铜矿产量预计零增长铜价走势谨慎乐观

GUOJITONGYANJIUZU(ICSG)JINGJIJIHUANJINGBUZHANGCarlosR.RisopatronZAIHUISHANGBIAOSHI:2015-2019NIANYUJITOUCHANDEXINTONGKUANGDABUFENYIYU2015-2016NIANKAISHIYUNXING;2017NIANJIHUMEIYOUXINZENGTONGKUANGHUOKUOCHAN,JINYOUYIGEXINZENGTONGKUANGJIANGZAI2018NIANTOUCHAN,YUJI2017NIANTONGKUANGCHANLIANGLINGZENGZHANG。SHANGHAIYOUSEWANGTONGXINGYEGAOJIFENXISHIYEJIANHUABIAOSHI,2017NIANHAIWAIMIANLINLAOGONGHETONGDAOQIDEZHUYAOKUANGSHANGONGYOU15JIA,WEIJINJINIANLAIDEGAOFENG,JIADALETONGSHIGONGYINGGANRAOLV,CIWAI,JUSMMSHUJUXIANSHI,ZI2011NIANKAISHIQUANQIUTONGKUANGSHANTOUZIZHUNIANXIAJIANG。SMMYUJI2017NIANQUANQIUTONGKUANGCHANLIANGZENGSUJIANGJIANGZHI0%。

DUIYU2017NIANTONGJIAZOUSHI,BUSHAOYUHUIJIABINBIAOSHIJINSHENLEGUAN。JIANGTONGGUOJIMAOYIYOUXIANHUANGJIAYINGYUNZONGJIANMAOYIWEIMAOYIWEIBIAOSHI,JINNIANTONGJIADEJIDIAOSHILEGUANDE,DANKENENGYOUYIXIEBUQUEDINGYINSU,YINCIDUITONGJIAJINSHENLEGUAN。

FOSHANSHIHUAHONGTONGGUANYOUXIANHUANGJIAFUZONGJINGLILIUHUIYEBIAOSHI,TONGJIADEYINSUYINGXIANGHENDUO,XUQIU、CHANNENG、BAGONG、JINRONGSHUXINGDENGYINSUDOUHUIDAIDONGTONGJIADEBODONG,DUI2017NIANTONGJIABIAOSHIJINSHEN、LEGUAN,“DIEYEDIEBULETAIDUO,SHENGYESHENGBULETAIDUO。”TASHUODAO。

YUANDONGCAILIAOJIAOYIZHONGXINYOUXIANHUANGJIAFUZONGJINGLICAIHAOYEZANTONGJINSHENLEGUANDEKANFA,TAYUJITONGJIAZOUSHIJIANGXIANYANGHOUYI。TAFENXIDAO,CONGXUQIUDUANLAIKANBURONGLEGUAN,CONGGONGYINGDUANLAIJIANG,XIAYOUXUQIUYOUQIDIANLIDIANLANBULEGUAN,ZUIZHONGDEJIAGEHAISHIGONGQIUGUANXILAIJUEDING。ERTONGHAIYOUJINRONGSHUXING,YUHEISEDEZHANGFUXIANGBI,TONGJIAHAICUNZAIZENGZHANGDEJICHU。TARENWEITONGJIAJINRULEYIGESHANGXINGTONGDAO,ZUOWEISHITIQIYE,HAISHIYAOZHUAZHUQUSHI。

TONGGUOSHANGHAITONGLVFENGHUIDERELIETAOLUN,SHENDUJIEXILETONGLVXINGYEFAZHANDONGXIANG,WEIHUIYUANDANWEIDUI2017NIANQUANQIU、GUONEIYOUSEJINSHUTOUZIPANDUANTIGONGLEZHONGYAODECANKAOYIJU,YIBIANHUIYUANDANWEIJIJIYINGDUI、ZAOZUOMOUHUA。


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